Academica 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.82/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.01
+46% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 1-1 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
1-1
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Academica vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica and Felgueiras 1932 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Academica had 55% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 45%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Academica vs Felgueiras 1932?

Academica 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Academica 37%, draw 29%, Felgueiras 1932 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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