Dezembro 1-0 Pero Pinheiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.7pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.4pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Pero Pinheiro EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Pero Pinheiro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2024 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro 1-3 HT 1-1 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
03.12.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 1-1 HT 0-0 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro POR3
19.08.2023 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro 2-0 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
1-0
AWAY Pero Pinheiro
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Pero Pinheiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro squeezed past Pero Pinheiro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dezembro as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dezembro had 53% of the ball to Pero Pinheiro's 47%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dezembro and 1.33 for Pero Pinheiro.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Pero Pinheiro?

Dezembro 1-0 Pero Pinheiro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Pero Pinheiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dezembro win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 46%, draw 27%, Pero Pinheiro 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dezembro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dezembro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
13 Apr 2024
13:00 Sporting Braga II vs Varzim Analysis →
17:00 Atletico CP vs Alverca Analysis →
17:00 Amora FC vs Caldas Analysis →
19:00 Sporting CP II vs Oliveira Hospital Analysis →
19:30 Academica vs Felgueiras 1932 Analysis →