Amora FC 1-1 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amora FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.30/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.95
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amora FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Caldas
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-2 HT 0-1 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
10.12.2023 Caldas Caldas 2-2 HT 1-2 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
27.08.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
26.02.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 4-2 HT 1-2 Caldas Caldas POR3
13.11.2022 Caldas Caldas 0-1 HT 0-1 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
25.09.2021 Caldas Caldas 1-0 HT 1-0 Amora FC Amora FC POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amora FC
1-1
AWAY Caldas
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amora FC vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amora FC and Caldas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Caldas at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Amora FC had 58% of the ball to Caldas's 42%, shots finished 5-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amora FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Amora FC and 1.33 for Caldas.

What was the final score of Amora FC vs Caldas?

Amora FC 1-1 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amora FC vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Amora FC 31%, draw 26%, Caldas 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caldas), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caldas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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