Caldas 1-2 Amora FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.1pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Amora FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.63/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.83
-4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldas
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Amora FC
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.12.2023 Caldas Caldas 2-2 HT 1-2 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
27.08.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
26.02.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 4-2 HT 1-2 Caldas Caldas POR3
13.11.2022 Caldas Caldas 0-1 HT 0-1 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
25.09.2021 Caldas Caldas 1-0 HT 1-0 Amora FC Amora FC POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
1-2
AWAY Amora FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
22 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Amora FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amora FC edged past Caldas 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Caldas at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Caldas had 48% of the ball to Amora FC's 52%, shots finished 22-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Amora FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Caldas and 1.80 for Amora FC.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Amora FC?

Caldas 1-2 Amora FC in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Amora FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Caldas 51%, draw 27%, Amora FC 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5
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