Sporting Covilha vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Sporting Covilha
POR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Varzim
POR2
1-2
HT 0-2
Sporting Covilha
POR2
2-1
HT 0-1
Varzim
POR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Covilha
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Varzim
PORLC
Sporting Covilha 2-2 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha and Varzim shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Sporting Covilha at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 48% of the ball to Varzim's 52%, shots finished 12-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sporting Covilha and 0.50 for Varzim.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Varzim?
Sporting Covilha 2-2 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Varzim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 48%, draw 27%, Varzim 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.