Lusitania FC Lourosa 3-1 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 28%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.67/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.22
+31% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -45%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
3-1
AWAY Atletico CP
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania FC Lourosa got the better of Atletico CP 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 52% of the ball to Atletico CP's 48%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Atletico CP?

Lusitania FC Lourosa 3-1 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 43%, draw 28%, Atletico CP 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✓ Over 2.5
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