Sporting Braga II 2-1 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
40%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
40%
Away Win
54%
-13.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 57%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.13/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.80
+85% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +50%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
238 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.01.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 3-3 HT 1-2 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3
29.09.2023 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
22.04.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-0 HT 0-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3
17.02.2023 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 1-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
06.11.2022 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-1 HT 0-1 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
2-1
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II squeezed past Felgueiras 1932 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sporting Braga II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 40% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 60%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Sporting Braga II and 1.20 for Felgueiras 1932.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Felgueiras 1932?

Sporting Braga II 2-1 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated an Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 31%, draw 29%, Felgueiras 1932 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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