Caldas 2-1 Oliveira Hospital — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.79/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.76
+22% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldas
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 0-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
25.02.2024 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 3-1 HT 1-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
17.12.2023 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 2-1 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
03.09.2023 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 1-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
07.01.2023 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 2-2 HT 2-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
2-1
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Oliveira Hospital
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas nicked a narrow win over Oliveira Hospital 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Caldas as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caldas had 40% of the ball to Oliveira Hospital's 60%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Oliveira Hospital led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Caldas and 1.80 for Oliveira Hospital.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Oliveira Hospital?

Caldas 2-1 Oliveira Hospital in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Oliveira Hospital?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Caldas 45%, draw 27%, Oliveira Hospital 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caldas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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