Dezembro 3-1 Sporting Covilha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.80/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.85
-36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting Covilha
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-0 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
27.08.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
3-1
AWAY Sporting Covilha
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Sporting Covilha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro got the better of Sporting Covilha 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Dezembro made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dezembro had 56% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 44%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Dezembro and 1.00 for Sporting Covilha.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Sporting Covilha?

Dezembro 3-1 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Sporting Covilha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dezembro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 36%, draw 30%, Sporting Covilha 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dezembro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dezembro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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