08/08/2026
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Belenenses vs Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
BTTS Yes
★★
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
25%
Draw
25%
22%
Away Win
18%
53%
Under 2.5
56%
47%
Over 2.5
44%
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
48%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Belenenses v Caldas — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Belenenses
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Caldas
EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+5% /
+7%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+16%
/
-18%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
332 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
250 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
3.0
Belenenses vs Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Belenenses
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Caldas
5.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
43%
Ball Possession
57%
12
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Target
6
2
Corners
8
6
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
21.11.2021
Caldas
3-5
HT 2-2
Belenenses
POK
3-5
HT 2-2
Belenenses
POK
Belenenses 1-0 Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Belenenses
1-0
AWAY
Caldas
20
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Target
2
7
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
0
POST-MATCH
Belenenses vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Belenenses squeezed past Caldas 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Belenenses as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, shots finished 20-6.
What was the final score of Belenenses vs Caldas?
Belenenses 1-0 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Belenenses vs Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Belenenses 53%, draw 25%, Caldas 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belenenses), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Belenenses)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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POR3
More Portugal - 3rd Division
8 Aug 2026