Uniao Santarem vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uniao Santarem v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Uniao Santarem vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Uniao Santarem 1-2 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha edged past Uniao Santarem 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Uniao Santarem at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Uniao Santarem had 55% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 45%, shots finished 9-8.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Uniao Santarem and 1.33 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs Sporting Covilha?
Uniao Santarem 1-2 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 43%, draw 31%, Sporting Covilha 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.