Fafe vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fafe v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Fafe vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Fafe
POR3
0-0
HT 0-0
Varzim
POR3
1-0
HT 0-0
Fafe
POR3
2-2
HT 1-1
Varzim
POR3
Fafe 1-0 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Fafe edged past Varzim 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Fafe had 43% of the ball to Varzim's 57%, shots finished 9-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fafe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fafe and 0.50 for Varzim.
What was the final score of Fafe vs Varzim?
Fafe 1-0 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fafe vs Varzim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fafe 42%, draw 29%, Varzim 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.