Varzim 0-2 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Aug 2024

Varzim
0-2 HT 0-1
Fafe
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.7pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.95/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.28
-25% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Fafe
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
03.12.2023 Varzim Varzim 0-1 HT 0-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
20.08.2023 Fafe Fafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
06.05.2023 Varzim Varzim 1-0 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
15.04.2023 Fafe Fafe 2-2 HT 1-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
07.01.2023 Fafe Fafe 0-1 HT 0-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
0-2
AWAY Fafe
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe got the better of Varzim 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 38% — and on the day Fafe made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Varzim had 54% of the ball to Fafe's 46%, shots finished 7-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Varzim had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Varzim and 0.60 for Fafe.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Fafe?

Varzim 0-2 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Varzim 40%, draw 22%, Fafe 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Varzim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varzim) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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