Vilaverdense 1-1 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilaverdense
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Sanjoanense
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-0 HT 0-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
08.04.2023 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 2-0 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
05.02.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-1 HT 1-1 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
22.10.2022 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vilaverdense
1-1
AWAY Sanjoanense
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vilaverdense vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilaverdense and Sanjoanense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sanjoanense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vilaverdense had 41% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 59%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vilaverdense had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Vilaverdense and 0.25 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Vilaverdense vs Sanjoanense?

Vilaverdense 1-1 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilaverdense vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanjoanense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vilaverdense 28%, draw 27%, Sanjoanense 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanjoanense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanjoanense) ✓ Under 2.5
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