Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 30%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +24%
1.88/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.97
+51% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
1-0
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lusitania FC Lourosa vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania FC Lourosa squeezed past CF Os Belenenses 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 46% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 54%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs CF Os Belenenses?

Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 41%, draw 32%, CF Os Belenenses 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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