Uniao Santarem vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uniao Santarem v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Uniao Santarem vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Uniao Santarem 1-1 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Uniao Santarem and Sporting Covilha shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Uniao Santarem at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
On the day, Uniao Santarem had 46% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 54%, shots finished 12-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Uniao Santarem and 1.50 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs Sporting Covilha?
Uniao Santarem 1-1 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 45%, draw 28%, Sporting Covilha 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Uniao Santarem), BTTS No went the other way.