Sporting Braga II 1-0 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 42%
+17% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.41/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.83
+13% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
218 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Varzim
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Varzim Varzim 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
24.08.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
13.04.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-1 HT 0-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
17.02.2024 Varzim Varzim 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
04.11.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-0 HT 2-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
07.08.2023 Varzim Varzim 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
1-0
AWAY Varzim
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Varzim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II squeezed past Varzim 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Sporting Braga II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 50% of the ball to Varzim's 50%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varzim led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sporting Braga II and 0.83 for Varzim.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Varzim?

Sporting Braga II 1-0 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 34%, draw 27%, Varzim 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Varzim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varzim) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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