CF Os Belenenses 1-0 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 23 Aug 2025

CF Os Belenenses
1-0 HT 1-0
Lusitano Évora 1911
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

CF Os Belenenses vs Lusitano Évora 1911 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.8pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CF Os Belenenses v Lusitano Évora 1911 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.29/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

CF Os Belenenses 1-0 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1-0
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Lusitano Évora 1911
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses squeezed past Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day CF Os Belenenses made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 50% of the ball to Lusitano Évora 1911's 50%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

CF Os Belenenses 1-0 Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 40%, draw 33%, Lusitano Évora 1911 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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