Maritimo vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maritimo v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Maritimo
POR
1-2
HT 1-1
Casa Pia
POR
Maritimo 1-0 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo nicked a narrow win over Casa Pia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Maritimo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.28 to 0.64.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Casa Pia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Maritimo and 2.00 for Casa Pia.
What was the final score of Maritimo vs Casa Pia?
Maritimo 1-0 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Casa Pia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 45%, draw 26%, Casa Pia 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.