Vitoria Guimaraes vs Arouca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria Guimaraes v Arouca — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Arouca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Vitoria Guimaraes 0-1 Arouca — Actual Match Statistics
Arouca squeezed past Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Vitoria Guimaraes at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 2.22 to 0.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vitoria Guimaraes.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 1.33 for Arouca.
What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes vs Arouca?
Vitoria Guimaraes 0-1 Arouca in the Portugal - Premier League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Arouca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 52%, draw 26%, Arouca 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes) went the other way.