Central Espanol 1-0 Progreso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Espanol EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Progreso EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / -3%
1.20/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.09
-2% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Espanol
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Progreso
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
07.02.2026 Progreso Progreso 0-3 HT 0-2 Central Espanol Central Espanol URU
25.09.2022 Central Espanol Central Espanol 1-1 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Espanol
1-0
AWAY Progreso
19 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Central Espanol vs Progreso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Espanol edged past Progreso 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Central Espanol found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 19-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Central Espanol had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Central Espanol and 0.50 for Progreso.

What was the final score of Central Espanol vs Progreso?

Central Espanol 1-0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Espanol vs Progreso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Espanol win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Central Espanol 40%, draw 25%, Progreso 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Espanol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Central Espanol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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