Alfaro vs Izarra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfaro v Izarra — Team-Based Signals
Alfaro vs Izarra Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Alfaro 1-0 Izarra — Actual Match Statistics
Alfaro squeezed past Izarra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Alfaro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Alfaro had 45% of the ball to Izarra's 55%, shots finished 8-6.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Izarra led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Alfaro and 1.00 for Izarra.
What was the final score of Alfaro vs Izarra?
Alfaro 1-0 Izarra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfaro vs Izarra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alfaro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alfaro 39%, draw 27%, Izarra 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfaro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.