Zaragoza II 1-1 Gernika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gernika EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.33/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.29
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaragoza II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gernika
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
04.02.2024 Gernika Gernika 0-1 HT 0-0 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
24.09.2023 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 1-1 HT 0-1 Gernika Gernika İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaragoza II
1-1
AWAY Gernika
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zaragoza II vs Gernika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaragoza II and Gernika shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Zaragoza II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zaragoza II had 54% of the ball to Gernika's 46%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zaragoza II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zaragoza II and 0.50 for Gernika.

What was the final score of Zaragoza II vs Gernika?

Zaragoza II 1-1 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaragoza II vs Gernika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaragoza II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zaragoza II 46%, draw 29%, Gernika 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zaragoza II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zaragoza II) ✓ Under 2.5
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