Europa 1-1 Pena Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.6pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Europa EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
2.43/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.70
+41% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Europa
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Pena Deportiva
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 2-2 HT 2-0 Europa Europa İS4
03.12.2023 Europa Europa 6-0 HT 4-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
06.03.2022 Europa Europa 1-0 HT 1-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Europa
1-1
AWAY Pena Deportiva
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Europa vs Pena Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Europa and Pena Deportiva couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Europa at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Europa had 54% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Europa had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Europa and 0.67 for Pena Deportiva.

What was the final score of Europa vs Pena Deportiva?

Europa 1-1 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Europa vs Pena Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Europa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Europa 56%, draw 20%, Pena Deportiva 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Europa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Europa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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