Pena Deportiva 2-2 Europa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Europa EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.45/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.40
+39% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pena Deportiva
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Europa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.12.2023 Europa Europa 6-0 HT 4-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
06.03.2022 Europa Europa 1-0 HT 1-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pena Deportiva
2-2
AWAY Europa
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pena Deportiva vs Europa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pena Deportiva and Europa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Europa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Pena Deportiva had 37% of the ball to Europa's 63%, shots finished 8-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Europa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Pena Deportiva and 3.50 for Europa.

What was the final score of Pena Deportiva vs Europa?

Pena Deportiva 2-2 Europa in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pena Deportiva vs Europa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Europa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pena Deportiva 31%, draw 25%, Europa 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Europa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Europa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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