Numancia 2-0 UD San Fernando — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-5.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Numancia EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY UD San Fernando EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.78/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.78
+2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Numancia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY UD San Fernando
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.12.2023 UD San Fernando UD San Fernando 1-0 HT 0-0 Numancia Numancia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Numancia
2-0
AWAY UD San Fernando
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Numancia vs UD San Fernando
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia beat UD San Fernando 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Numancia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Numancia had 65% of the ball to UD San Fernando's 35%, shots finished 17-6.

What was the final score of Numancia vs UD San Fernando?

Numancia 2-0 UD San Fernando in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Numancia vs UD San Fernando?

Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Numancia 58%, draw 22%, UD San Fernando 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Numancia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Numancia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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