Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 Arenas de Getxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Apr 2024

Deportivo Alaves II
0-1 HT 0-1
Arenas de Getxo
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2023/2024

Deportivo Alaves II vs Arenas de Getxo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Alaves II v Arenas de Getxo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.35/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.02
-4% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Deportivo Alaves II vs Arenas de Getxo Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
23.04.2023 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
11.12.2022 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 0-0 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
23.01.2021 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS3
06.12.2019 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 0-2 HT 0-2 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS3

Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 Arenas de Getxo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
0-1
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Arenas de Getxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenas de Getxo squeezed past Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 59% of the ball to Arenas de Getxo's 41%, shots finished 19-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves II had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 1.00 for Arenas de Getxo.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Arenas de Getxo?

Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 Arenas de Getxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Arenas de Getxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 46%, draw 26%, Arenas de Getxo 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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