14/04/2024
·
12:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Formentera vs Sant Andreu Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
28%
Draw
29%
37%
Away Win
36%
59%
Under 2.5
64%
41%
Over 2.5
36%
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
54%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Formentera v Sant Andreu — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Formentera
EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sant Andreu
EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% /
-4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
1.23/0.97
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.05/1.14
+12%
/
+0%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+2%
/
-11%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
314 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
295 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.2
Formentera vs Sant Andreu Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Formentera
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Sant Andreu
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
32%
Ball Possession
68%
2
Total Shots
30
0
Shots on Target
17
0
Corners
6
2
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
03.12.2023
Sant Andreu
1-0
HT 0-0
Formentera
İS4
1-0
HT 0-0
Formentera
İS4
POST-MATCH
Formentera vs Sant Andreu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Formentera saw off Sant Andreu 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Formentera made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Formentera vs Sant Andreu?
Formentera 3-1 Sant Andreu in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Formentera vs Sant Andreu?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sant Andreu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Formentera 35%, draw 28%, Sant Andreu 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Sant Andreu)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
14 Apr 2024