Gernika 0-1 Zaragoza II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-3.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gernika EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.49/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.17
+37% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gernika
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Zaragoza II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 1-1 HT 0-1 Gernika Gernika İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gernika
0-1
AWAY Zaragoza II
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gernika vs Zaragoza II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaragoza II nicked a narrow win over Gernika 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gernika at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gernika had 50% of the ball to Zaragoza II's 50%, shots finished 6-8.

What was the final score of Gernika vs Zaragoza II?

Gernika 0-1 Zaragoza II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gernika vs Zaragoza II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gernika win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gernika 42%, draw 30%, Zaragoza II 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gernika) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gernika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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