Cartagena II 1-1 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
39%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.6
Over 2.5
33%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.0pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.6pp
38%
Away Win
53%
-14.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena II EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 57%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+64% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
156 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 516 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY UCAM Murcia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.09.2023 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 3-0 HT 0-0 Cartagena II Cartagena II İS4
30.04.2023 Cartagena II Cartagena II 1-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
18.12.2022 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 6-1 HT 2-1 Cartagena II Cartagena II İS4
POST-MATCH Cartagena II vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cartagena II and UCAM Murcia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 33% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, UCAM Murcia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cartagena II and 3.00 for UCAM Murcia.

What was the final score of Cartagena II vs UCAM Murcia?

Cartagena II 1-1 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena II vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cartagena II 28%, draw 33%, UCAM Murcia 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UCAM Murcia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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