Atlético Paso 0-1 Numancia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Feb 2024

Atlético Paso
0-1 HT 0-0
Numancia
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2023/2024

Atlético Paso vs Numancia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.38
Over 2.5
33%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
69%
-2.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
31%
+2.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.7pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlético Paso v Numancia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Numancia EU Bookmakers 40%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.57/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.89
+52% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Atlético Paso vs Numancia Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlético Paso
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Numancia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Numancia Numancia 3-1 HT 0-1 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
POST-MATCH Atlético Paso vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia edged past Atlético Paso 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 35% / 34%) promised a tight game; Numancia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Atlético Paso vs Numancia?

Atlético Paso 0-1 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlético Paso vs Numancia?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Atlético Paso 30%, draw 35%, Numancia 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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