Xerez Deportivo 1-1 Juventud Torremolinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.51
Over
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
38%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez Deportivo The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud Torremolinos The Market 32%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.87/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.54
-28% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xerez Deportivo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Juventud Torremolinos
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2023 Juventud Torremolinos Juventud Torremolinos 1-0 HT 0-0 Xerez Deportivo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez Deportivo
1-1
AWAY Juventud Torremolinos
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Xerez Deportivo vs Juventud Torremolinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez Deportivo and Juventud Torremolinos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Xerez Deportivo had 69% of the ball to Juventud Torremolinos's 31%, shots finished 20-3.

What was the final score of Xerez Deportivo vs Juventud Torremolinos?

Xerez Deportivo 1-1 Juventud Torremolinos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez Deportivo vs Juventud Torremolinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Xerez Deportivo 40%, draw 29%, Juventud Torremolinos 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Xerez Deportivo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xerez Deportivo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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