Fjölnir 2-0 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.41
No
36%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
67%
-2.8pp
36%
BTTS No
33%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.10/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/1.42
-38% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Afturelding
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.06.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 0-1 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
31.08.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-2 HT 2-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
29.06.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 4-3 HT 4-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
17.09.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 1-5 HT 1-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
09.07.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 2-1 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
14.08.2021 Fjölnir Fjölnir 3-0 HT 2-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fjölnir saw off Afturelding 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Fjölnir found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Fjölnir and 1.33 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs Afturelding?

Fjölnir 2-0 Afturelding in the Iceland - 1st Division on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated an Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 34%, draw 27%, Afturelding 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Afturelding) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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