Afturelding 0-1 Fjölnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 26 Jun 2024

Afturelding
0-1 HT 0-1
Fjölnir
📅26/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Iceland - 1st Division – 2024

Afturelding vs Fjölnir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.43
No
51%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+3.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
66%
-16.3pp
51%
BTTS No
34%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Afturelding v Fjölnir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.18/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/2.35
+8% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3

Afturelding vs Fjölnir Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fjölnir
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.08.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-2 HT 2-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
29.06.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 4-3 HT 4-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
17.09.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 1-5 HT 1-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
09.07.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 2-1 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
14.08.2021 Fjölnir Fjölnir 3-0 HT 2-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
03.06.2021 Afturelding Afturelding 2-2 HT 1-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Fjölnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fjölnir nicked a narrow win over Afturelding 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Afturelding at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Afturelding and 3.17 for Fjölnir.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Fjölnir?

Afturelding 0-1 Fjölnir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Fjölnir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 52%, draw 21%, Fjölnir 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Afturelding), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afturelding) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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