Grindavik 3-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
43%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.3pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.4pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.6pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grindavik EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar EU Bookmakers 56%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.35/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.83/1.25
-12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
299 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 467 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grindavik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2021 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 4-1 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
07.05.2021 Grindavik Grindavik 3-1 HT 2-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL1
07.09.2020 Grindavik Grindavik 1-1 HT 0-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL1
13.06.2020 Grindavik Grindavik 1-5 HT 0-2 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZK
28.07.2019 Grindavik Grindavik 2-1 HT 0-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
11.05.2019 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-2 HT 1-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZL
POST-MATCH Grindavik vs İB Vestmannaeyjar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grindavik got the better of İB Vestmannaeyjar 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was İB Vestmannaeyjar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Grindavik and 2.33 for İB Vestmannaeyjar.

What was the final score of Grindavik vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

Grindavik 3-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar in the Iceland - 1st Division on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grindavik vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

Before kick-off our model rated an İB Vestmannaeyjar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Grindavik 28%, draw 29%, İB Vestmannaeyjar 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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