Höttur / Huginn 1-3 Reynir Sandgerdi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.98
Over 2.5
70%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-0.9pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.1pp
30%
Under 2.5
30%
-0.1pp
70%
Over 2.5
70%
+0.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.9pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Höttur / Huginn EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Reynir Sandgerdi EU Bookmakers 27%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.42/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.28
+0% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Höttur / Huginn
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Reynir Sandgerdi
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
13.08.2022 Höttur / Huginn Höttur / Huginn 5-0 HT 2-0 Reynir Sandgerdi Reynir Sandgerdi İZL2
04.06.2022 Reynir Sandgerdi Reynir Sandgerdi 3-4 HT 3-2 Höttur / Huginn Höttur / Huginn İZL2
POST-MATCH Höttur / Huginn vs Reynir Sandgerdi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reynir Sandgerdi got the better of Höttur / Huginn 3-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Höttur / Huginn at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Höttur / Huginn had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Höttur / Huginn and 1.50 for Reynir Sandgerdi.

What was the final score of Höttur / Huginn vs Reynir Sandgerdi?

Höttur / Huginn 1-3 Reynir Sandgerdi in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Höttur / Huginn vs Reynir Sandgerdi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Höttur / Huginn win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Höttur / Huginn 55%, draw 22%, Reynir Sandgerdi 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Höttur / Huginn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Höttur / Huginn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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