KFG Gardabar 1-3 UMF Tindastoll — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.14
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.35
No
40%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-4.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
70%
-10.3pp
40%
BTTS No
30%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFG Gardabar EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY UMF Tindastoll EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
2.99/2.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.50
+108% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFG Gardabar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY UMF Tindastoll
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.07.2024 UMF Tindastoll UMF Tindastoll 2-2 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar İZL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFG Gardabar
1-3
AWAY UMF Tindastoll
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KFG Gardabar vs UMF Tindastoll
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Tindastoll got the better of KFG Gardabar 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UMF Tindastoll as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KFG Gardabar had 48% of the ball to UMF Tindastoll's 52%, shots finished 19-11.

What was the final score of KFG Gardabar vs UMF Tindastoll?

KFG Gardabar 1-3 UMF Tindastoll in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFG Gardabar vs UMF Tindastoll?

Before kick-off our model rated an UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split KFG Gardabar 28%, draw 24%, UMF Tindastoll 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UMF Tindastoll), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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