St. Pauli II 2-1 BW Lohne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.37/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.79
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
1W-2D-1L
AWAY BW Lohne
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
11 Corners 6
11.02.2024 BW Lohne BW Lohne 1-3 HT 1-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
20.08.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-1 HT 0-0 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
12.02.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 3-3 HT 2-2 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
21.08.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 3-3 HT 1-2 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli II
2-1
AWAY BW Lohne
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs BW Lohne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II nicked a narrow win over BW Lohne 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was BW Lohne at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, St. Pauli II had 52% of the ball to BW Lohne's 48%, shots finished 8-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for St. Pauli II and 2.00 for BW Lohne.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs BW Lohne?

St. Pauli II 2-1 BW Lohne in the Germany - Regional League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs BW Lohne?

Before kick-off our model rated an BW Lohne win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 29%, draw 30%, BW Lohne 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BW Lohne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BW Lohne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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