BW Lohne 1-3 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 37%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
2.22/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.47
+36% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BW Lohne
1W-2D-0L
AWAY St. Pauli II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
6 Corners 11
20.08.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-1 HT 0-0 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
12.02.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 3-3 HT 2-2 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
21.08.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 3-3 HT 1-2 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH BW Lohne vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II saw off BW Lohne 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; St. Pauli II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, BW Lohne had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for BW Lohne and 2.00 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of BW Lohne vs St. Pauli II?

BW Lohne 1-3 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BW Lohne vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated a BW Lohne win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split BW Lohne 38%, draw 26%, St. Pauli II 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BW Lohne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BW Lohne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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