Luckenwalde 1-0 Meuselwitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.95
Over 2.5
58%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.96/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.51
+20% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Meuselwitz
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.08.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-2 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
11.03.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-4 HT 1-2 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
02.10.2022 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 3-1 HT 0-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
28.01.2022 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 0-2 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
09.08.2021 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 3-1 HT 0-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Meuselwitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde edged past Meuselwitz 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Luckenwalde as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Luckenwalde had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Luckenwalde and 1.80 for Meuselwitz.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Meuselwitz?

Luckenwalde 1-0 Meuselwitz in the Germany - Regional League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Meuselwitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luckenwalde win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 43%, draw 26%, Meuselwitz 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luckenwalde) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luckenwalde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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