Hamburg II 2-3 Holstein Kiel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.43
No
51%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
66%
-16.5pp
51%
BTTS No
34%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +18%
2.45/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.51
+50% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Holstein Kiel II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 4-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 2-2 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
31.07.2022 Hamburg II Hamburg II 4-0 HT 1-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
29.11.2021 Hamburg II Hamburg II 0-3 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
12.09.2021 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 3-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
01.11.2020 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-3 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg II
2-3
AWAY Holstein Kiel II
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hamburg II vs Holstein Kiel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel II edged past Hamburg II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Holstein Kiel II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Hamburg II had 65% of the ball to Holstein Kiel II's 35%, shots finished 23-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hamburg II and 2.17 for Holstein Kiel II.

What was the final score of Hamburg II vs Holstein Kiel II?

Hamburg II 2-3 Holstein Kiel II in the Germany - Regional League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg II vs Holstein Kiel II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holstein Kiel II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hamburg II 35%, draw 25%, Holstein Kiel II 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holstein Kiel II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holstein Kiel II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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