Köln II 0-1 Düren Merzenich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.6pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.74/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.42
+1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Düren Merzenich
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 1-1 HT 0-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
11.02.2023 Köln II Köln II 2-0 HT 1-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
21.08.2022 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 3-2 HT 2-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln II
0-1
AWAY Düren Merzenich
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Köln II vs Düren Merzenich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Düren Merzenich nicked a narrow win over Köln II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Köln II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Köln II had 56% of the ball to Düren Merzenich's 44%, shots finished 21-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Köln II and 1.33 for Düren Merzenich.

What was the final score of Köln II vs Düren Merzenich?

Köln II 0-1 Düren Merzenich in the Germany - Regional League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln II vs Düren Merzenich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Köln II 41%, draw 27%, Düren Merzenich 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Köln II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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