Ajman 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
15%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajman EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 57%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.11/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.51
-54% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +42%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
18.4 Crosses 16.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajman
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.69 xG 1.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
327 Passes 363
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2024 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 2-0 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAELK
03.01.2022 Ajman Ajman 0-1 HT 0-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
17.12.2021 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 2-1 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajman
1-1
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
1.36 xG 1.93
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
231 Passes 404
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 38
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajman vs Shabab Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajman and Shabab Al Ahli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Shabab Al Ahli at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Ajman had 39% of the ball to Shabab Al Ahli's 61%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.36 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shabab Al Ahli led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ajman and 1.67 for Shabab Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Ajman vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Ajman 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli in the UAE - League Cup on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajman vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shabab Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ajman 31%, draw 23%, Shabab Al Ahli 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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