Shabab Al Ahli 2-0 Ajman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.73
2-3 Goals
41%
2.15
4-5 Goals
21%
2.49
6+ Goals
18%
5.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.1pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+9.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajman EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.65/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.86
-8% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
442 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
15.9 Crosses 13.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Al Ahli
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ajman
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.57 xG 0.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
353 Passes 394
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 14
8 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.01.2022 Ajman Ajman 0-1 HT 0-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
17.12.2021 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 2-1 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shabab Al Ahli
2-0
AWAY Ajman
2.78 xG 0.66
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
384 Passes 194
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Ahli vs Ajman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Ahli saw off Ajman 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shabab Al Ahli as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shabab Al Ahli had 62% of the ball to Ajman's 38%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.78 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shabab Al Ahli had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shabab Al Ahli and 0.50 for Ajman.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Ahli vs Ajman?

Shabab Al Ahli 2-0 Ajman in the UAE - League Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Ahli vs Ajman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabab Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Ahli 54%, draw 21%, Ajman 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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