Al Ittihad Kalba 2-3 Al Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒17:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.74
6+ Goals
15%
7.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
54%
Away Win
53%
+0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ain EU Bookmakers 57%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.02/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.31
+37% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
275 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 82%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
14.5 Crosses 19.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Ain
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.64
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
238 Passes 428
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
03.04.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAECK
07.03.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
09.02.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
09.12.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
17.02.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-3 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
2-3
AWAY Al Ain
1.13 xG 1.32
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 Passes 482
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain edged past Al Ittihad Kalba 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ain as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Al Ittihad Kalba had 41% of the ball to Al Ain's 59%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 1.13 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad Kalba had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ittihad Kalba and 1.33 for Al Ain.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain?

Al Ittihad Kalba 2-3 Al Ain in the UAE - League Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad Kalba 23%, draw 23%, Al Ain 54%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ain), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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