Al Ain 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.69
2-3 Goals
36%
2.03
4-5 Goals
28%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.9pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-6.3pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 40%
-16% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.30/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.56
-13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.2 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.11 xG 1.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
403 Passes 249
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAECK
07.03.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
09.02.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
09.12.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
17.02.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-3 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
02.10.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ain
0-1
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.04 xG 0.73
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
452 Passes 215
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad Kalba edged past Al Ain 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Al Ittihad Kalba made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ain had 63% of the ball to Al Ittihad Kalba's 37%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.04 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ain had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Ain and 1.33 for Al Ittihad Kalba.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Al Ain 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 37%, draw 31%, Al Ittihad Kalba 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ain) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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