Xelaju MC 2-0 Xinabajul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.3pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +2%
1.62/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.56
+1% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Xinabajul
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.02.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
02.02.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
18.09.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
13.08.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 1-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
09.04.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
16.02.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-1 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Xinabajul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC beat Xinabajul 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.50 for Xinabajul.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Xinabajul?

Xelaju MC 2-0 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Xinabajul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 52%, draw 24%, Xinabajul 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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