Telstar vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Telstar v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals
Telstar vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
2-1
HT 2-0
Telstar
HOL2
5-3
HT 3-1
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
2-1
HT 2-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
3-0
HT 3-0
Telstar
HOL2
Telstar 4-0 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics
Telstar swept aside MVV Maastricht 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Telstar as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Telstar had 49% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 51%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.76 to 0.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Telstar and 2.67 for MVV Maastricht.
What was the final score of Telstar vs MVV Maastricht?
Telstar 4-0 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Telstar vs MVV Maastricht?
Before kick-off our model rated a Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Telstar 46%, draw 26%, MVV Maastricht 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Telstar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.