Tlaxcala 1-0 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 8 Sep 2024

Tlaxcala
1-0 HT 0-0
Atlante
📅08/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Tlaxcala vs Atlante Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.34
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
51%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
51%
Away Win
60%
-8.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tlaxcala v Atlante — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 64%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.68/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.53
-37% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +141%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
221 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tlaxcala vs Atlante Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atlante
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.03.2024 Atlante Atlante 2-0 HT 2-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
30.07.2023 Tlaxcala 1-2 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
24.03.2023 Atlante Atlante 0-2 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
05.09.2022 Tlaxcala 0-5 HT 0-3 Atlante Atlante MEK2
13.01.2022 Atlante Atlante 1-1 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
26.08.2021 Tlaxcala 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tlaxcala squeezed past Atlante 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atlante at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.67 for Atlante.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Atlante?

Tlaxcala 1-0 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 19%, draw 29%, Atlante 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atlante) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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