Cancun FC 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
14%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.4pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.78/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.08
+43% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
10.02.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 HT 2-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
06.10.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
12.01.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
07.09.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
14.04.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
22.09.2021 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg nicked a narrow win over Cancun FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Leones Negros Udeg made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cancun FC and 1.50 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Cancun FC 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 32%, draw 34%, Leones Negros Udeg 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
8 Sep 2024
04:00 Tlaxcala vs Atlante Analysis →
06:00 Dorados De Sinaloa vs Correcaminos UAT Analysis →